Despite the immense suffering of Myanmar’s population in recent years, with recent successes of revolutionary forces combined with waning military control, there is a generational opportunity to reimagine an inclusive democratic state without the previous pacts between military and civilian leaders.
February 1, 2024 marked the third anniversary of the attempted military coup led by Senior General Min Aung Hlaing. That and the violent end to Aung San Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy government, has resulted in extended conflict, humanitarian crises, economic collapse and the breakdown of basic services. More than 3 million Myanmar people are also internally displaced due to the conflict and instability.
More than 3 million Myanmar people are internally displaced due to the conflict and instability
Buddhist-inspired, leader-centric interpretations of democracy abound, as do more radical democratic goals. Words such as “human rights”, “federalism” and “accountability” all have diverging meanings attached to them depending on the varied interests of political parties, ethnic armed groups, activists and local civil society organisations. Assuming that liberal democracy is a shared goal even for all Myanmar’s “democratic” actors would be a grave mistake.
However, the attempted coup and subsequent intensification of conflict has, in some ways, unlocked new ideas about Myanmar’s democratic future. The restrictive 2008 constitution was put in place by the military as part of its plan to partly transfer power to civilian leadership and this presented a major obstacle to deeper reform. With provisions for military quotas in parliament, centralised decision-making systems, and immense powers for the military’s commander in chief, the 2008 constitution cast a shadow over any discussion of democratisation.
Assuming that liberal democracy is a shared goal even for all Myanmar’s “democratic” actors would be a grave mistake.
The attempted coup and revolution, however, have dramatically shifted the political landscape, to the point where the 2008 constitution no longer holds any political salience outside of the hard core of the military regime. This rejection of the 2008 constitution and the revolution against the military has opened new possibilities for imagining a post authoritarian Myanmar democracy. Most importantly, there is now widespread consideration of Myanmar federalism outside the constraints of the 2008 constitution.
Key role for local civil society
In practical terms, the loss of territory controlled by the military government, and the collapse of effective government services in areas they do control, has also left spaces for a plurality of new arrangements of local governance. Governance and service provision structures are being adapted and reformed by the National Unity Government and ethnic revolutionary organisations but also myriad other groups.
Originally published under Creative Commons by 360info™.